Lots of changes in the order of things in the first round since my last mock draft, so I thought I'd update things a little. Here is how I see things going down:
1. New Jersey Refuse Rehabilitation Clinic of Wisconsin: Evan Longoria
This is a stone cold lock. Storlie would be a fool to take anyone else.
2. Julian Javelina: Ryan Zimmerman
There has been speculation that I would take Votto here. While he is enticing for sure, there are always 1B to be found in this league; 3B is much harder to fill in my opinion (unless you collect them like Berg). Zimmerman is my pick, book it.
3. Michigan Miracles: Ian Kinsler
I always thought Renner would take Kinsler, and his trading Uggla just cinches it for me. Much like when he took Rios, he's drafting based entirely on upside here. That can get you in trouble (see: Rios), but I think it works out for Renner. A solid 3-year guy at a tough position to fill.
4. Carolina Yankees: Brandon Phillips
Lots of rumors swirling about Wofford wanting a pitcher here, but it doesn't add up when you look at his roster. Nope, he goes with the most dynamic bat left at a scarce position. A very, very good pick here.
5. South Texas Heat: Zack Greinke
Berg has been saying he'll take Youkilis here, but neither Youk nor Votto makes much sense when you look at his roster. With Morrow and Kazmir both under contract and under-performing, taking a SP here makes a ton of sense. It's not Berg's style, but it makes sense. Does Berg dare sign two historically fragile SP to 3-year contracts? Don't rule out seeing Berg move back a handful of spots and picking up and extra draft pick.
6. Dallas Rebirds: Justin Verlander
Doyel has Ryan Howard under contract, he just traded Brandon Webb, and he has historically valued pitching over offense. He has his sights set on Greinke, but he's not available in this scenario. I say he takes Verlander and slides him into Webb's 3-year slot.
7. Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic: Kevin Youkilis
Springfield would do well to get Youk here and play him at 3B. I don't think he takes a pitcher here, and he'll value the best available bat. Hard to argue with a 25-30 HR 3B/1B/UTIL guy at #7. Votto doesn't make sense because of the presence of Tex here, but I wouldn't rule it out entirely.
8. Mid Michigan Tigers: Joey Votto
I have to think Keith was jonesing for Verlander here, but he's not available. He has Lee and Dempster under contract, so pitching isn't really a need. Being able to pair Cabrera and Votto at 1B and DH is a deadly combo - I'd point out that a similar pair (Gonzalez/Morneau) won me a title two years ago.
9. Encinitas Beach Bums: Andre Ethier
There is some thought that Ethier is a top five or six pick in this draft, but I think this is a good spot for him. Darren gets a rising young star capable of 30 HR and 100 RBI right away to build his offense around. A solid 3-year guy for sure, but a reach as a 5-year guy in my opinion.
10. Encinitas Beach Bums: Felix Hernandez
Having secured a "building block" bat already, I have to think Darren will jump at the chance to land a true ace. While it's not my style, it wouldn't surprise me to see Darren lock Felix into a 3-year deal.
11. Wisconsin Brewers: Carlos Lee
Storlie probably wanted Andre Ethier here, but he's not available. He doesn't need pitching with Peavy, Cain and Lilly under contract. He does need another solid outfielder. Abreu and Ichiro don't provide enough power for him, so he goes with a familiar face. Lee is a little risky as a 3-year guy in my opinion, but not enough to preclude Storlie from making him one.
12. Encinitas Beach Bums: Adam Jones
I think Darren takes Jones and slaps a 3-year contract on him. Jones and Ethier could make a very good outfield tandem by the time this team is ready to contend - possibly as soon as 2011.
13. Olivet Killer Eagles: Dan Haren
Yet another team sticking with a familiar name. Haren is a stud, and will make for a killer 1-2 punch atop Larry's rotation. This is another SP who get land a 3-year contract.
14. Julian Javelina: TBD
Plenty to choose from here. I could land a stud SP, a promising young 1B, a good outfielder. Only time will tell.
15. New Jersey Mets: Jon Lester
Taking a pitcher this early is not Mike's MO, but it makes sense. His pitching has cost him in the playoffs the last two years, so now is as good a time as any to add a horse.
16. ES Blacksox: Tommy Hanson
Hanson might be the hottest name heading into this draft. He's young, gets plenty of hype, and has great stuff. Like I said, ES has a history or taking exciting young pitchers toward the middle or bottom of round one (Felix, Hamels). I think he snags Hanson here without hesitation.