Sunday, December 4, 2011

eMLB 2012 Mock Draft - Version 1

Here is my take on who goes where in the first round. With the exception of a couple of the newer owners, I think we all have pretty clear patterns we've established in making our draft picks. Here is how I see it:

1. Hackensack Bulls: Jose Bautista, 3B/OF
I just have a hard time seeing Ben pass on the single best player in the draft. While he can't go wrong with any of the top four guys in this draft, Bautista is heads and shoulders above the rest. I'm also convinced that the prime years spent as a utility player help extend his prime and make him less of a risk on a 5-year contract than most 31-year olds.

2. Oliver Killer Eagles: Robinson Cano, 2B
This pick makes the most sense for Larry because, in my opinion, he'll have an easier time moving Kelly Johnson during the winter meetings than he would Dunn or Morales. Plus, I think it's a toss-up between Cano and Tulo for the second best player in the draft based on position scarcity. Cano will look awfully good in the middle of the Eagles lineup for the next five years.

3. Michigan Miracles: Troy Tulowitzki, SS
I originally thought Adrian Gonzalez would go here, but now I think Renner takes the best short stop in baseball to build around. He really can't go wrong with either Gonzo or Tulo, but I think Tulo is the pick here. And Renner finally finds a worthy 5-year player after dumping Rios last season. Not a bad pickup.

4. Atlantic Surge: Adrian Gonzalez, 1B
This pick probably comes down to Gonzo, Nelson Cruz and Jose Reyes. I'm not sure Cruz gets serious consideration this high in this particular draft, and the likely departure of Reyes from New York probably saves Squire from taking the hometown boy. Gonzo is the clear pick, and helps provide a nice offensive base for 2012 and beyond.

5. Julian Javelina: Justin Upton, OF
In this scenario, my pick would more than likely be J-Up. It would be a toss up between Upton and 'Cutch, but I actually think Upton has more upside as he matures. I think McCutchen is in love with his new-found power and will be less inclined to steal bases in the coming seasons. I guess my point here is I think Upton is closer to identifying what "his" game is than McCutchen is at this point.

6. Springfield Flying Squirrels of Republic: Andrew McCutchen, OF
This is a no-brainer. Anson LOVES McCutchen. Anson NEEDS McCutchen. Anson GETS McCutchen. In this scenario, Anson gets an exciting young player to build around before he hits his prime. He probably slaps that five-year deal on him, which might be a little premature, but at least he knows 'Cutch won't be going anywhere any time soon.

7. North Texas Rangers: Nelson Cruz, OF
Having watched a couple Rangers playoff games with Adrian, I know he has what we'll refer to as more than moderate man-wood for Mr. Cruz. (I think me messed himself on a couple of those game winning HR's) Well, here he is; all teed up for Adrian. There is no doubt some internal strife over the pick (with Andrus, Beltre, Cruz and Hamilton all sitting there, he's certain to take one and miss the other three), but I think this is the direction he ultimately chooses.

8. Charlotte Orios: Josh Hamilton, OF
This is a toss-up between Hamilton and Tex, which means it ultimately comes down to a guy you know will miss 20-40 games every year (Hamilton), or a guy who is almost certain to go 0-for April every year. In the end, I think Broskey opts to supplement a highly questionable and power-deficient outfield mix with a guy he knows will hit when healthy. Given his current outfield mix, a 3-year deal for Hamilton is a virtual lock.

9. Oviedo Knights: Mike Stanton, OF
I think Mike probably had his sights set on Hanley here, but the news of Reyes signing with the Marlins and Hanley's impending shift to 3B changes things. One lazy, potentially unproductive 3B on a fantasy roster is enough (Alvarez). Instead Mike takes arguably the best young slugger in the draft and slaps a 5-year contract on him.

10. Mid Michigan Tigers: Hanley Ramirez, SS/3B
Sure, Keith has two third basemen under contract, but both will be gone after 2012. Taking Hanley here allows him to possibly recoup some value at #10 overall, play him a short for a season, then move him to third. Not too shabby.

11. Gaylord Dingers: Jose Reyes, SS
I think Wagner probably gives serious consideration to Chris Young, Reyes and maybe Cliff Lee here, but ultimately decides to take the electric short stop. There is enough outfield depth in this draft that he should be able to fill his open spots with productive players, but it's too hard to fill short stop with these kinds of stats in most drafts.

12. San Antonio Fire Ants: Cliff Lee, SP
Sankey has so many needs at this point that he just needs to take the best available player on the board. In this scenario, that's probably Lee. A 1-2 punch of Lee and Hanson is a pretty good start to any rotation.

13. Dallas Red Birds: Cole Hamels, SP
Elvis Andrus seems like the logical pick here, but Doyel always wins with starting pitching. My guess he's fired up about the opportunity to draft the second best SP in this draft and field arguably the best staff in the league. I just don't see Doyel passing on another ace here since it would allow him to focus entirely on offense for the next several rounds.

14. Rochester Red Sox: Mark Teixiera, 1B
Rich could go in a number of directions here, but I think Tex is the pick, which would allow him to move Morse to the OF or Util spot. Tex is a lottery pick in almost any other season, but he slides a little bit here.


15. South Texas Heat: Rickie Weeks, 2B
Berg says he's looking 3B here, but I think it's a smoke screen. I think he's holding out hope that he can get Weeks here. I just have a hard time believing Berg can pass on a hometown guy here, especially one as productive as Weeks.

16. Arizona Desert Swarm: Joe Mauer, C
Sometimes you need to take a chance you wouldn't otherwise take when you're drafting at the bottom of the first round. On the one hand, Mauer is still just 28 and is two years removed from a mammoth season. On the other, he really hasn't been healthy for two years and it seems unlikely that he'll ever hit for the power he showed in 2009 again. Still, it's hard to find young catchers who have a knack for hitting for average and driving in runs.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

2012 eMLB Mock Draft - Picks 1-4

Here is a (very) early look at the first four picks of the eMLB Free Agent Draft.

1. Hackensack Bulls: Jose Bautista, OF/3B
I think this pick probably comes down to Adrian Gonzalez and Bautista, and Ben ultimately picks Bautista because (in my opinion) he's the best offensive player in the draft. Ben could slot Bautista in at 3B, giving him the best 3B in the game, and still find a very productive 1B with his second round pick. A five year contract for Bautista is a little risky, but the worst case scenario probably has him playing out his final two years under contract as a DH.

2. Olivet Killer Eagles: Robinson Cano, 2B
Larry's OF is full, he's got Asdrubal Cabrera at SS, and Dunn/Morales at 1B/UTIL; all these factors conspire to make Cano the pick here. My guess is Cano gets a 5-year deal and is destined to spend all five years in Olivet.

3. Michigan Miracles: Adrian Gonzalez, 1B
This pick comes down to Gonzo, Tulo and Reyes in my opinion. I think Gonzo and Tulo are the finalists and Gonzo wins out. He's a great 5-year player who should put up monster numbers in a park that seemingly was built for his swing.

4. Atlantic Surge: Jose Reyes, SS
I think Squire just blew his load. A big time Mets fan, and saddled with a lousy SS by a previous owner (Bartlett), he is more than happy to lock up his man crush for five years. Now he just has to hope Reyes' hammy can hold up for five years.

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Javelina Extend Berkman, Weaver; Begin Planning for Draft

Frustrated and woefully disappointed in how their season ended, the Julian Javelina elected to forego their typical press conference and announce their extensions for the upcoming season in a brief press release. As many expected they would, the Javelina announced that OF/1B Lance Berkman and SP Jered Weaver will be returning for one more season with the team.

"The Julian Javelina are pleased to announce that we have agreed to one-year extensions with Lance Berkman and Jered Weaver," said GM Jamie Hoyle in the release. "Lance and Jered are not only outstanding and productive players, but they're superb leaders. Given the amount of turnover we will have heading into 2012, we felt it was imperative that we bring back two proven winners."

Weaver enjoyed his best season as a professional, posting 18 wins, a 2.41 ERA and 198 strike outs. Berkman, who joined the team prior to the trade deadline, was named comeback player of the year after hitting .301 with 31 HR, 94 RBI, 90 R and 92 BB. Weaver and Berkman will join 3B Ryan Zimmerman, 1B Ike Davis and SP Ryan Dempster on the Javelina roster.

The Javelina hold the #5 overall pick in the 2012 draft, and are expected to fill an offensive hole with the selection. It shouldn't be difficult to find an offensive difference maker with the pick, considering the 2012 draft is perhaps the deepest the league has seen since its inception. Sources close to the team have said they anticipate Hoyle will work feverishly to add at least one, and probably two bats via off-season trades.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Armed with #5 pick, Javelina Focus on Extensions

Needless to say, the 2011 eMLB season did not go to plan for the Julian Javelina. Seemingly loaded on offense to start the season, the team saw several players take a big step back (Choo, Ethier, Johnson), and others suffer major injuries (Zimmerman, Davis). As a result, the team struggled to find a consistent offense and had to settle for an appearance in the consolation bracket as opposed to the championship playoffs.

"It wasn't what we had in mind going into the season," said GM Jamie Hoyle. "But on the bright side we did eek out a win in the consolation championships to secure the #5 pick in a very deep draft."

Now, with the #5 pick locked down, Hoyle and his staff must focus on re-building following a season in which they traded numerous players signed to long-term contracts in hopes of reviving a struggling offense. That process starts with making smart decisions as it relates to contract extensions, of which the team has two. But who will get them?

"We're still sorting through those decisions," explained Hoyle. "Off the top of my head, I'd say we have five or six guys who are worthy of extensions - but we can't keep all of them. Certainly, guys like Adam Jones, Berkman, Weaver, Madson, Valverde, Peralta, and Hudson are all candidates."

Here is a look at some of the candidates and their 2011 numbers:
Jered Weaver: 2.41 ERA, 18 W, 198 K, 1.01 WHIP
Tim Hudson: 3.22 ERA, 16 W, 158 K, 1.14 WHIP
Ryan Madson: 2.67 ERA, 32 SV, 62K, 1.15 WHIP
Jose Valverde: 2.24 ERA, 49 SV, 69K, 1.19 WHIP
Lance Berkman: .301 AVG, 31 HR, 94 RBI, 90 R, 92 BB
Adam Jones: .280, 25 HR, 80 RBI, 12 SB, 68 R
Jhonny Peralta: .299, 21 HR, 86 RBI, 68 R

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Javelina clip eagles, move within half game of first

After an inexplicably painful and disappointing loss to the Arizona Desert Swarm in week 12, the Javelina entered week 13 in need of a win. They got what they needed. The Javelina used a dominant pitching performance and timley hitting to overcome the Olivet Killer Eagles by a score of 7-4-1, making up three and a half games of their fresh four game deficit in the process.

The pitching set the tone for this win, kicking off the week with 16 innings of one run ball from Ryan Dempster and Gio Gonzalez and never looking back. All told, the pitching staff walked away with five of six pitching categories (SV, K, ERA, WHIP, H), dominating to the tune of a 2.49 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 3 holds, 5 saves and 53 strike outs. LHP Gio Gonzalez led the way for the starters (2-0, 16 K, 0.60 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 15 IP), and newly acquired closer Jose Valverde posted three saves in his first week with the team. Also joining the fun were Jered Weaver (1-0, 1.13, o.75, 8 K, 8 IP) and Ryan Dempster (ND, 1.13, 0.80, 6 K, 8+IP).

"The pitching was fantastic," said GM Jamie Hoyle. "We had a real rough patch in late April and early May, but everyone on the staff has stepped up and pitched well for the last several weeks. This is what we expected when we drafted these guys."

While certainly not overpowering or impressive, the offense did its part in holding off the Eagles from making a late charge. Despite floundering to the tune of a .230 batting average, the offense still managed to steal two offensive categories (R, BB) and post respectable peripheral numbers. Led by the duo of Andrew McCutchen (.393, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 6 R, 3 BB) and the newly acquired Jhonny Peralta (.348, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 7 R, 3 BB), the offense managed to pound out 8 HR and drive in 25 runs.

"[The bats] weren't great, but they did just enough," said Hoyle. "'Cutch continues to improve and impress, and Jhonny provided exactly the kind of shot in the arm we thought he would. We just need one or two more guys to step up and help them out."

The Javelina didn't get to enjoy their win for long. They began a crucial divisional match-up against rival North Texas on Monday. The team did make one noteworthy change to the lineup for the series; utility player David Murphy replaced Alexi Casilla at second base and immediately chipped in with an RBI double. The team also welcomed Takashi Saito back from a lengthy DL (and WW) stint, filling the bullpen slot that was vacated when closer Ryan Madson was placed on the 15-day DL.

Hits and Misses....
The Andre Ethier trade is already paying off for the Javelina as Valverde recorded three saves and Peralta hammered 2 HR in their first week on the team...Andrew McCutchen is on pace for 28HR, 30SB, 90BB, and 100+ runs in 2012...John Niese survived a rocky first inning on Friday to post his eighth quality start since May 18...Opening Day starter Jered Weaver leads the majors in ERA and seems destined to start the All Star Game for the American League...RP David Hernandez has assumed closing duties for the Diamondbacks.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Javelina set sights on second title with trade

While the Julian Javelina entered week 12 tied for the best record in eMLB, they were also accutely aware of the flaws that could prevent them from making a run in the post season. As they have proven willing to do in previous seasons, the Javelina front office decided to be aggressive in filling their holes; ultimately agreeing to a blockbuster trade with the Michigan Miracles late Sunday evening.

GM Jamie Hoyle decided early in the week that he would need to move a piece for next season if he wanted to be a true contender this season, and that's what he did. Hoyle and Michigan GM Chris Renner agreed to a deal that sent outfielders Andre Ethier, Shin-Soo Choo, Scott Rolen and Michael Stutes to Michigan in exchange for Adam Jones, Jhonny Peralta, Jose Valverde and Daniel Murphy.

"It's hard to see a character guy like Andre go with time remaining on his contract," said Hoyle at a team press conference Monday morning. "But this had to happen. Adam and Jhonny add considerable power to our lineup, which we needed. Obviously, Jose solidifies our pen and we feel Murph can be a valuable piece coming of the bench."

The offensive key to this deal was Adam Jones, who is enjoying a break-out season with the bat. Jones has already amassed 12 Hr and 44 RBI in 2011, and is well on his way to setting career highs in home runs, runs batted in, walks and runs scored. Peralta will slide into the DH role immediately, and should provide some stability and much needed power from that spot. Because of his versatility, Murphy could easily see time at four positions as players need time off.

Perhaps more important than the offensive additions was the opportunity to add a proven closer with a track record of slamming the door on opposing teams while striking out more than a batter per inning pitched. Valverde and Madson should combine to form one of the better closer tandems in the league.

"We had some offers involving other closers, but none of them were on the same level as Jose," said Hoyle. "It was crucial that we added someone who was both overpowering and entrenched in the closer role. We decided early on that we weren't going to settle for some default closer - anyone we added had to be a difference maker."

In the end, Hoyle got what he needed. This is a team that should prove explosive offensively, and now it has an electric bullpen to protect leads. Despite falling 4 games behind the Desert Swarm after week 12, the Javelina have to be considered the favorite to win the West. And the scary thing for the rest of the division is, Hoyle may not be done.

Monday, May 30, 2011

Javelina Win 8-3, Assume First Place in Wes

In what may well have been their biggest series of the season to date, the Julian Javelina used an impressive late charge to defeat the North Texas Rangers 8-3 and take over first place in the Western Division. The Javelina pitchers led the way, winning 5/6 pitching categories, and were aided by enough of a weekend offensive run to win three offensive categories. The series was close through out, but the Javelina found a way to pull it out in the end.

The story of the week was the performance of the Julian starting rotation. Knowing full well they needed a strong week to keep pace with what had been a dominant Rangers' pitching staff, the Julian starters combined for staggering numbers. In eight starts the Julian starters went 5-0 (1.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 50 K), a run that included Jered Weaver and Yovani Gallardo allowing a total of two earned runs in 34 innings of work. The bullpen also chipped in with 11 strike outs, 4 holds and 3 saves.

"Our pitching has not met expectations in the early going," said GM Jamie Hoyle. "But we've seen some encouraging signs the last few weeks and it looks like Yo and Ryan in particular are rounding into form. We expect our pitching to be much improved for the remainder of the season."

Though definitely not explosive, the Julian offense proved gritty and was able to chip in with some timely hitting. The Julian lineup received a boost from Andrew McCutchen who, despite only hitting .250 for the week, showed signs of returning to form by contributing in every offensive category (HR, 3 R, 3 RBI, 2 SB, 3 BB). Matt Joyce and Andre Ethier also had nice weeks, combining for 2 HR, 5 RBI, 7 R and 5 BB.

"It was nice to see 'Cutch and Andre start to get it going a little," said Hoyle. "We need those guys to be productive, and they both look like they're starting to get comfortable. If that continues, it only means good things for us offensively."

In week 9 the first place Javelina (51-38-7, 2nd best record in eMLB) square off against the Atlantic Surge (37-51-8). Despite finding themselves in the cellar in the Eastern Division, the Surge are coming off of a big offensive week and field a respectable pitching staff. A mismatch on paper could evolve into a closely contested series if the Javelina bats don't start providing some run production.

Hits and Misses...
SP Yovani Gallardo has been nearly unhittable over his last five outings (5-0, 1.50 ERA, 34 K, 35 IP)....2B Kelly Johnson is hitting .400 over his previous eight starts (12/30, 3 HR, 3 2B, 9 R, 2 BB, 2 SB)....CF Andrew McCutchen is hitting .324 over his previous nine starts (12/37, 2 HR, 2 2B, 6 RBI, 8 R, 7 BB, 4 SB)....SP Gio Gonzalez has allowed two or fewer earned runs in his previous five starts (3-0, 2.49 ERA, 35 K, 32.1 IP).

Monday, May 16, 2011

Javelina Take 7-5 Bite Out of Swarm

The Julian Javelina entered week six in need of a divisional victory and ultimately used a solid, balanced attack to earn a 7-5 series win over the Arizona Desert Swarm. For really the first time since the first week of the season, the Javelina got very good production from both the offense and the pitching staff, and they needed every bit of it.

The offense was very good from start to finish despite losing Ike Davis to injury on Monday, hitting .333 as a group. The offensive onslaught was led in large part by newly acquired outfielder Matt Joyce, who hit an eye-popping .450 (9/20, 4 HR, 9 RBI, 6 R, 4 BB, 1 2B) to raise his season average to a league-leading .368. Alexei Ramirez and Paul Konerko chipped in with two home runs and three runs batted in apiece.

"Matty has been very good for us," said GM Jamie Hoyle. "He's stepped right in, provided some power and really looks like he's coming into his own. He carried us this week."

As has been the case since the start of the season, the Javelina pitching proved the difference between winning and losing. The pitching staff combined for a 3.38 ERA (4 W, 3 S), 1.22 WHIP, 51 K and 5 holds. Leading the way for the pitching staff was the newly acquired Jake Arrieta. Arrieta made the most of his first turn in the Javelina rotation by going 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 13 strike outs (12.0 IP). Yovani Gallardo and Ryan Dempster both continued their recent runs of good starts by going a combined 2-0 (3.00, 1.25 WHIP, 16 K, 12 IP).

"It's no secret our pitching has been a thorn in our sides," said Hoyle. "Based on what we've seen from Yo and Ryan the last ten days or so, I think things are about to get a lot better. Add Jake to that and I think we have a lot to look forward to."

The Javelina entered play Sunday morning trailing the series 7-5, but within reach in three crucial "swing" categories (R, HR, SV). The offense responded by hitting a combined .467 on Sunday (7/15, 2 HR, 4 R, 3 RBI). Alexei Ramirez went 3-4 with a HR and two runs scored, providing all the cushion the Javelina needed.

"Good teams find ways to win, and that's what we did," said team captain Ryan Zimmerman. "I think this team is just getting started."

Swings and Misses....
The Javelina currently lead the league in home runs and batting average despite McCutchen, Kelly Johnson, Choo, Soto and Ryan Zimmerman all either struggling or dealing with injuries...RHP Ryan Dempster appears to be rebounding from his rocky start to 2011, going 1-1 in his previous three starts (20IP, 2.50ERA, 20K, 3 BB)....OF Matt Joyce's 7th inning homer off Mike Gonzalez on Sunday was the first of his career off a LHP....RHP Jake Arrieta (5-1, 4.03, 46K) is 4-0 with 36K over his previous 36IP (6 starts)....RP Ryan Madson has converted all six save opportunities without allowing a run since being named the closer on April 20th (9IP, 4 H, 4 BB, 0 ER, 10K).

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

eMLB Preseason Power Poll: 1-4

4. Hackensack Bulls (Texas Division Champions, #4 Playoff Seed)

Offensive Outlook: Slightly Above Average
This is a group that will clearly be led by a very good outfield group. I think Werth, Heyward, Rasmus and Davis provide a great, diverse skill set and will keep this team in contention on offense most weeks. I would expect further improvement from both Heyward and Rasmus this season as they continue to mature. Also the combo of Mauer and Pedroia is as good as it gets at their respective positions. If it weren't for a general lack of even league-average production at key spots like 1B, 3B, SS and DH, this might have been one of the better offenses. This team will likely compete in average, runs, and runs batted in. They will probably struggle in steals, HR and BB most weeks.

Pitching Outlook: Slightly Above Average
Two weeks ago this may have been the best pitching staff in the league, but Wainright's injury really hurt them. With both Wainright and Strassburg on the DL for most or all of the year, the Bulls' SP depth took a major hit. Still, it's hard not to like the 1-2 punch of Lester/Latos, and Marcum/Hughes are both pretty darned good too. The key to this rotation will be the #5 spot - there are rumors the Giants might cut Zito in the spring, which would leave Femmel in the unenviable position of counting on Drabek and Hunter week-to-week. I'm not in love with the pen. No one knows what roles Sale and Ogando will play and Jenks is buried in a deep bullpen. Marshall and Rhodes are both solid. I figure this pitching staff will be very competitive in wins, ERA, WHIP and K. I think they will struggle in holds and saves.

Depth Outlook: Iffy
Not a lot of proven, quality depth on the offensive side. The fact is, no one really knows what to expect from guys like Freeman, Freese, Ramos and Lowrie. Even Podsednik's role is in question. If I'm Femmel, I drop the extra MRP and start trolling for SP depth right now.

3. Gaylord Dingers (Great Lakes Division Champions, #3 Playoff Seed)

Offensive Outlook: Slightly Above Average
If you just look at names, the offense looks like a juggernaut. But this isn't 2005 anymore. There are major injury and production concerns swirling around guys like Aramis Ramirez, Posada, Beltran, Furcal, Pena and Roberts. I do think Ramirez, Furcal and Roberts bounce back, but I'm not sold on Beltran's knees and Posada could lose AB's to Montero as the season wears on. Pena will be a big wild card for this offense. I'm not convinced the outfield will hit for enough power for this team to advance much beyond the first round of the playoffs if it remains as-is, which means they will need production from Willingham. Still, this team will compete in average, RBI, runs, walks and SB week to week. I think they struggle in HR.

Pitching Outlook: Average
It looks like Wagner attended the "Mike Reynolds School of Building a Rotation" during the winter. Outside of Cole Hamel and maybe AJ Burnett (and that's a reach), nothing really stands out here. Kennedy could take another step forward this season, but Kuroda and Zambrano are basically league average innings eaters. The bullpen is excellent. K-Rod, Street, and Soria give him the best 3-headed closing combo in the league, and Bard and Betancourt are very good set-up men. If it weren't for the bullpen, this pitching staff would be a mess. As it stands, they will compete in ERA, wins, strikeouts, holds and saves every week. WHIP could be a problem.

Depth Outlook: Decent
Wagner has a ton of infield depth, which is something most lack, but has virtually no outfield depth. He will probably find himself rotating Wilingham and Beltran from the lineup to the DL on a regular basis. The pitching depth is interesting - loaded with solid relievers, and really only two questionable SP to backup a questionable rotation. He will have problems with his pitching all season.


2. Springfield FLying Squirrels of Republic (West Division Champions, #2 Seed)

Offensive Outlook: Explosive
This is a group that has a track record for producing power, speed, average and walks. There is a nice balance of proven vets (Morneau, Uggla, Rollins, Abreu, Beltre), young studs (Bruce, Upton, Montero), and even a solid bounce-back candidate. Assuming they remain healthy, this group will be extremely competitive in nearly every category. In my opinion, Morneau's health will play a huge role in how successful this team is.

Pitching Outlook: High-Risk
Hard to argue with CC and Liriano, but the rest of the starters are every bit as risky and unknown as those two are good. You have to figure Anson has to hit on one of Hellickson, Chacin and Wood - I'm betting on Hellickson. I also think the odds are pretty good that one of Wood and Chacin will likely struggle - I'm betting on Wood. It's a huge risk starting all three. The bullpen is decent, but not great. In my opinion, this team will probably experience its struggles with saves, WHIP and possible ERA much of the season.

Depth Outlook: Thin
Not a ton of infield depth here - quality or otherwise. If Beltre, Prado, Rollins or Morneau misses a lot of time, this team is in trouble. I do like the OF depth. I think Anson will use Garland and Davis more than he expects this season.

1. Rochester Red Sox (East Division Champions, #1 Seed)

Offensive Outlook: Dynamic
Rich has what I think is the most dynamic, diverse offense in the league. His lineup is loaded with power and speed, he should score and drive in a ton of runs, and hit for a decent average. He has well above average players at four of five infield spots and three stud outfielders to carry the offense. One category he will struggle with is walks, as he only has one hitter who drew more than 70 walks in 2010. It's my belief that Mark Reynolds and Brignac will drag down the batting average and I'm not convinced Coghlan is a legitimate fantasy starter.

Pitching Outlook:
I have mixed feeling about the starting rotation. Obviously, it's hard not to like Kershaw, Anderson and Haren. It's reasonable to expect at least modest improvements in Kershaw and Anderson as they mature. Haren struggled in 2010, but will benefit from pitching half his games in Anaheim. In my opinion, the days of Lowe and Beckett being anything more than serviceable fantasy pitchers are gone. I think there will be a good number of wins and strikeouts from this quintet, but I believe Beckett and Lowe will drag down the WHIP and ERA. The bullpen is decent, but not great. Axford needs to prove he's for real, no one knows Kimbrell's role in ATL, Capps will probably be setting up by the All Star break, and Massett and Belisle are solid. I think this group will compete in holds week to week, but will find saves hard to come by later in the season.

Depth Outlook: Thin
Rich could have as many as three dead spots on this roster with Cabrera, Brantley and Trout riding the pine. Barton is solid and should probably be DH'ing to help with the walks. Betancourt and Valencia should be able to help out in short stints. I like Peavy and Westbrook on the bench - I think Peavy is an excellent sleeper this season. Rich might consider releasing Zumaya and picking up another SP for extra depth.

Friday, March 4, 2011

emlb Preseason Power Poll: 5-8

8. Dallas Redbirds (Consolation Bracket, 2nd in East)

Offensive Outlook: Slightly Above Average
Doyel's team looks a lot like the team that made it to the finals last season. No doubt Doyel is banking on similar results, but I wouldn't count on it. Despite the three-headed monster of Howard, Cano and Holliday, this is a team that is largely devoid of power. It will struggle to compete in HR, BB and RBI most weeks. It will, however, be strong when it comes to average, runs and steals. He will have some speed to deal for power when the need arises; but will he pull the trigger?

Pitching Outlook: Above Average
Once again, the starting pitching is a major strength for Doyel's team. This quintet will be extremely competitive when it comes to wins, strike outs, ERA and WHIP. It is probably one of the top four rotations in the league. I'm not a fan of most of the pen. Clippard and Burnett came from nowhere last year and play for a lousy team; I think they will regress some. Lyon is a WHIP killer with frequent blow-ups in his history and his stats last year were probably more of an aberration than a sign of what's to come. Soriano is an elite set-up man, but that's not why Doyel traded for him. Thornton is nasty and figures to close, but has little experience in that role.

Depth Outlook: Average
Bourjos is an unknown right down to the role he'll play. Headley, Sanchez and Ruiz are more valuable in real life than in fantasy. There is decent if unspectacular pitching depth.

7. Michigan Miracles (Consolation Bracket, 2nd in Texas Division)

Offensive Outlook: Above Average
There is a very good offensive core here. There is a good amount of power (Gonzalez, Hill, Young, Rios, Wells), which is complimented by a ton of speed (Rios, Victorino, Desmond). He's going to need rebound seasons from Hill and Suzuki in terms of average, but should hit for a very respectable team average. This team will struggle to compete in walks most weeks with a ton of free swingers on the roster, and what will they do when Ordonez eventually gets hurt?

Pitching Outlook: Slightly Above Average
If you look at last season's stats, the rotation looks good on paper. Then you realize the rotation is made up of two guys who don't miss bats (Hudson, Cahill), two guys who had extreme career years (Lewis, Myers), and one legit stud. I'd bat both Cahill and Hudson see their ERA's spike by close to a full run, and the WHIPs will go up, too. Myers and Lewis seem like they are in line for a regression. The bullpen is solid. I think this team finds its self behing the 8-ball in K's, W's and possibly WHIP this season.

Depth Outlook: Questionable
I see a lot of risks and wild cards on this bench. LaPorta and Borbon are complete unknowns. Hall and Rivera could wind up with inconsistent playing time. Peralta is in decline and while his speed is enticing, it seems to me the Nationals would prefer not to have to count on him. There is decent pitching depth.

6. North Texas Rangers (Wild Card, 3rd in West)

Offensive Outlook: Above Average
There is a great deal of fire power here. The lineup is loaded with power (Tex, Wright, Kinsler, Hamilton, Posey, Stanton) and has some speed to boot (Wright, Kinsler, Escobar). It's a lineup that should be competitive in average, home runs, runs batted in, walks and runs. I don't think Alex Gonzalez matches last year's power totals and his average will be a drag. Matsui and Thome are OK, but there is no telling how many AB's they'll get or if they can stay healthy.


Pitching Outlook: Average
Not a huge fan of the starting staff here. Obviously, Felix is a beast and Hanson is promising. I see a major regression for CJ Wilson this season and I don't think Adrian gets anything from Webb all season. I'm also not crazy about counting on Beuhrle in the rotation since he gives up plenty of base runners and doesn't miss bats. Adrian will probably need to use Matuzs more than he'd like this season.

Depth Outlook: Decent
Adrian has a bunch of guys who could fill in admirably for a week or two, but any extended injuries or slumps by his starters would kill him. His most reliable reserve is Orlando Hudson, other than that he has a bunch of guys who are barely replacement level. I'm guessing there will be some turnover on his pitching bench because Howell is hurt and Pineda may not start the year in the majors. He's going to need good innings out of Matusz at some point.

5. Julian Javelina (Wild Card, 2nd in West)

Offensive Outlook: Explosive
This is a very balanced and diverse group of offensive talents. The first thing that pops out is the power (six regulars who should top 20 HR, five who should approach or top 25). But this team should also be very competitive in the other categories. The team figures to compete in average, home runs, runs batted in, runs and walks most weeks. They would probably benefit from adding some speed.

Pitching Outlook: Very Good
The starting staff is extremely deep and well-rounded. It's led by three players who should top 200 IP, provide very good ERA's and approach or top 200K's each. Then you have two youngsters on the rise who should pitch 190-200 innings, post ERA's around 3.50, and miss 170+ bats. The bullpen obviously lacks a closer, but should be very good in the other categories. There are four relievers who should post 20-25 holds and provide better than league average totals in ERA and WHIP. The pen should, for the most part, also provide healthy strike out totals. The lack of closers is what kept this group out of the top four.

Depth Outlook: Excellent
There are capable and productive backups at almost every position, and even a few guys who could find their way into outfield and utility rotations if they play well. Torres and Venable provide speed off the bench and one of them could steal time from Soriano if they play well. Davis is a blossoming star at 1B and will see time at utility. Casilla is the everyday 2B or SS in Minnesota and could provide some speed. Pieryznski is solid enough. The pitching depth is also solid. Guthrie is an innings eater who improved last season and Niese is a young hurler with upside. Mark Lowe could get saves chances if Feliz starts.


Sunday, February 27, 2011

eMLB Preseason Power Poll: 9-12

Time to review the 9th-12th ranked teams in eMLB.

12. Charlotte Oreos

Offensive Outlook: Mediocre
I won't lie, there is some star power here (Votto, Utley, Hanley, Ichiro, Cruz). Unfortunately, the affore-mentioned star power is sort of dimmed by a collection of not-yet-ready-for-prime-time-players (Tabata, Maybin, Snyder, Weiters), and a glorified utility player (Polanco). My gut says this team will steal a ton of bases, be competitive in terms of power and RBI, but probably see its average dragged down by guys like Weiters, Maybin and possibly Snyder. That said, any wins this team gets will be a direct result of the offense.

Pitching Outlook: Agonizing
Let's see, there is Verlander....and, um....well, there is Verlander. Other than that, you're looking at a collection of injury-prone and inconsistent starting pitchers. This team will not compete in ERA, WHIP, W, or K's most weeks. The good news is he very well could have four closers to work with. The bad news is Farnsworth sucks and won't last long, Putz pitches for a lousy team, Lidge is an enigma, and Francisco pitches in a crowded bullpen. This team will struggle to record holds.

Depth Outlook: Thin
Reviews on Nishikoa are mixed. Mora pretty much sucks. Stewart's role is as yet undefined with guys like Lopez and Wigginton in town. Saunders probably won't play much. I doubt Dan Johnson produces much. He could get some decent value/production out of Narveson, Stauffer and Galarraga. I am not a believer in carrying extra MRP - especially bad ones (Gutierrez) - but that's me.

11. Mid Michigan Tigers

Offensive Outlook: Stagnant
It's hard to say any lineup with Cabrera in it will be stagnant, but this lineup looks thin to me They will steal a lot of bases and probably score runs at a decent clip, but beyond that it's fairly ugly. This is a lineup that will struggle to hit many HR outside of Cabrera, which means it will also struggle in the RBI department. I also think this team will struggle to draw walks and hit for average. Iannetta, Uribe, Scutaro, Brown and Berkman all represent potentially significant holes in this lineup.

Pitching Outlook: Promising
In the end, it was Keith's pitching that separated him from Larry and Broskey. Yeah...Lincecum, Lee and Danks are a deadly 1-2-3, and I actually like Santana and Sanchez. This team should fair well in ERA, WHIP, K, and W. The bullpen is decent, but not great. Moyland will get his holds, Guerrier is sold, and Brian Wilson is one of the better closers around. I have some concerns about Cordero and Jepsen and how they'll impact WHIP.

Depth Outlook: Thin
Will Barmes and Smith play regularly? And would it actually help Keith if they did? Thole is barely serviceable in real baseball. There is decent pitching depth.

10. South Texas Heat

Offensive Outlook: Above Average
I actually like the offensive core. There are a couple proven veterans (Fielder, Jeter), there are a couple youngsters with massive upside (Santana, Upton, Fowler), and there are a few bounce back candidates (Figging, Quentin, Granderson and Lind). Then there is the ever brittle Chipper Jones - which pretty much means Berg will need to play Casey Blake at third more than he'd probably like. There should be no shortage of power, RBI, and runs. I think the team will be light on average and walks. They should be competitive (middle of pack) in SB.

Pitching Outlook: Middle of the Road
I like Berg's starting pitchers because they are all durable and productive, but none of them are really go-to fantasy pitchers. He should be fairly competitive in ERA and Wins with this group, but might struggle some in the WHIP and K categories since none of these guys are really dominant. The bullpen is what will drag him down some. He will probably be very competitive in Holds, but his pen might drag down ERA and WHIP some. He will struggle in saves.

Depth Outlook: Questionable
There are a lot of question marks on the offensive bench. Will Chris Davis play? What can you expect from Espinosa? Has Alex Gordon fallen out of favor and when will Moustakas get called up? Only Cust and Blake figure to get regular playing time. I like him carrying Harang and Minor on the bench, and Coke could be a nice little sleeper, too.


9. Oviedo Knights

Offensive Outlook: Average
There is a decent balance of youth and veterans here. You figure guys like Lee, Ortiz, Hart, and Bautista will provide solid production; even if Hart and Bautista seem likely to regress this season. I really like Neil Walker at second base (could be good for 15 HR and 15 SB), and there is a great deal of promise in Pedro Alvarez. This team will struggle to compete in walks this season and will probably have a below average batting average, but should be more than competitive in HR, RBI, SB and R.

Pitching Outlook: Average
I'm not in love with the starting pitching here. Obviously, Oswalt is very good; but I wonder if his struggles late in the post season are an indication of some regression. After that there are some questions - Cueto, Morrow and McDonald could torpedo WHIP and ERA any given week. The bullpen looks very good on paper. Perez is a closer on the rise, Adams is nasty, and Motte is working his way into a closer role. Dotel is a gas can. I'd be concerned about Broxton I think this team is likely to struggle to compete in WHIP, K's, and saves could be a problem depending on what happens with Broxton. They will be pretty competitive in W and H.\

Depth Outlook: Thin
I think the depth is questionable. There is no telling what to expect from Sizemore, Blanks won't play much before July (if at all), Fukudome sucks. I like Kendrick and Arencibia. No telling what to expect from Kila. The pitching depth is very thin. Chris Young's right shoulder is mush, Luebke is not a lock for a rotation spot. Duensing is OK, but nothing special. He could have the Dodgers' next closer in Jansen.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

eMLB Preseason Power Poll: Lottery Bound

I started doing my divisional breakdowns and realized they are very time consuming, so I figured I'd take a different approach this season. I'm going to publish a series of power polls this year, starting from the bottom of the league and working my way to the top. So here is the first installment: Teams 13-16

16. Arizona Desert Swarm

Offensive Outlook: Grim
In my estimation, this team figures to struggle mightily hitting for average, producing power, driving in runs, and drawing walks. Their primary strengths figure to be speed and scoring runs, but that's really just a relative comparison to where I expect them to struggle. This team figures to be at or near the bottom of virtually every offensive measurable all season. What happens if Ackley fails to break camp with the big club?

Pitching Outlook: Solid
The real strength of this team is its starting pitching. Few teams have five starters as good as the unit Josh has assembled. They should be extremely competitive in W, ERA, WHIP, and K. It's my believe that having only one closer is akin to slapping a band-aid on a slit wrist - it only prolongs the agony. There is really no telling what to expect from any of his relievers outside of Nunez based on either inexperience or spotty track records. There will be a ton of turnover in his pen in my opinion.

Depth Outlook: Non-existant
He has three OFers on his bench who will either start the year in AAA, ride the pine, or split time at best. There is no telling where Doumit will wind up or where he'll play (less value in the OF). How much will Izturiz play? Only Derek Holland to fill in if Carpenter's elbow explodes again.

15. Atlantic Surge

Offensive Outlook: Average
There isn't what I'd call an explosive offensive core here, but there are some decent players. Napoli, LaRoche, Weeks, Hunter, and Kubel provide the power. Pagan provides the speed. This team will be roughly middle of the pack in terms of AVG, but will really struggle with SB and BB. He needs a big rebound season from Sandoval and continued growth from Colvin.

Pitching Outlook: Average
Not crazy about the pitching here. He reached for Hudson who seems unlikely to maintain a WHIP of 1.00 in a full season. Lackey and Pelfrey struggle to miss bats and work with lots of men on base - I wouldn't expect Pelfrey to have an ERA under 4 this season. Nolasco is pretty solid, and he needs some growth out of Scherzer. He'll be competitive in saves, particularly when Aardsma returns. Lindstrom and Walden figure to hurt the WHIP. I'd expect

Depth Outlook: Minimal
There is no telling what to expect from Moustakas, Wallace, Young or Moreland this season. I'd expect considerable regression from Buck. Callaspo is solid. I would expect Edwin Jackson and Jair Jurrjens to make major contributions, eventually replacing Pelfrey and Lackey before the All-Star break.

14. San Antonio Fire Ants

Offensive Outlook: Grim
This is an offense that figures to most closely resemble a pop gun. Sure, there are a couple stars (A-Rod, Tulo), but after that it's pretty much league average players - at best. Ultimately, Sankey will not get enough power/run production out of his C, 1B, OF, or DH to hang with most clubs week to week. He figures to be competitive in AVG, BB and R most weeks, but will struggle with HR, RBI and SB. He's going to struggle to find a solution at C and UTIL all season.

Pitching Outlook: Average
On paper his starters look pretty solid. You have to like Halladay, Lilly and Johnson. Arroyo will soak up innings and keep him in games. I'm not a believer in Dickey over a full season. What will he get out of Santana? He's going to post good ERA, WHIP and W totals. Arroyo and Dickey will drag down his K totals. Bell and Papelbon anchor the pen. I think he will have turnover among his set-up men.

Depth Outlook: Thin
His offensive depth is nothing to speak of. No depth in the middle infield, only Helton to back up Butler, and a league average catcher to start when he realizes Martin won't play enough. He does have some pitching depth with Wolf and Braden on the bench and Santana on the DL.

13. Olivet Killer Eagles

Offensive Outlook: Average
There is a ton of power here in VMart, Dunn, Morales, Swisher, Stubbs and Vlad, which means plenty of RBI, too. That said, I think there are two guys currently starting who could mitigate the impact of the afore-mentioned guys but offering below average production for their positions (Cuddyer and Cabrera). There is also some question as to Scott's role and playing time. This team will probably not be much better than league average in AVG and BB, and will struggle to compete in SB week-to-week.

Pitching Outlook: Below Average
Ricky Romero is a stud in the making, but there are four other guys who are hard to gage. Piniero is durable but inconsistent and doesn't miss bats. Happ is also inconsistent. Carrasco is inexperienced. Shields seems like a candidate for a bounce back, but has a ton of innings in that right shoulder. There is a similar collection of question marks in the 'pen. This team will probably struggle with nearly all pitching categories all year.

Depth Outlook:
The offensive depth is solid if unspectacular. Rodriguez, Nady, Hawpe, Encarnacion and Hardy could all prove valuable in spot duty. The pitching depth is a different story - Harden and Capuano are made of glass and Bailey is something of an enigma.


Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Preseason Predictions

I will also be writing preseason predictions for each division and team. Not sure when I will get to them, but I will try to write at least one review per month between now and the end of Spring Training.

Monday, February 7, 2011

Javelina Working Hard on Contract Negotiations

With the eMLB draft having been completed late last week, the Julian Javelina worked feverishly through the weekend in an effort to lay the ground work for new contracts for four of their recent draftees. The team is expected to offer contracts to Ryan Dempster, Kelly Johnson, Gio Gonzalez and Ike Davis prior to the start of the 2011 season. For his part, GM Jamie Hoyle played host to all four players on an individual basis over the weekend, inviting each to join him at his green-side corporate box at TPC Scottsdale's famous 16th hole. The general consensus is all four players enjoyed themselves and are open to signing with the team.

"I wouldn't say we had any formal discussions at the tournament," opined Hoyle. "Having said that, I enjoyed getting to know our new players and feel confident something will get done with each of them."

Though it hasn't been confirmed, there have been rumors that one of the players - most probably Ike Davis - was arrested during Tuesday's practice round after jumping out of the corporate box and streaking the 16th green in an effort to mock a player who had missed what he considered 'a freakin' gimmie' of a birdie putt.

"I'm not going to comment on rumors," said Hoyle with a wry smile and a wink. "But if that were true - and I'm not saying it is - one could say such an incident might give us a little leverage in negotiations."

It's believed all four players will be offered 2-year contracts to sign with the team.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

2011 Draft Recap - Rounds 8-20

Round 8: Pick 8.1 - Sergio Romo, RP
Though not considered an 'elite' set-up man, Romo fills the eighth inning role on the defending World Champions. He is extremely durable and consistent and has nasty stuff., averaging moe than a K/IPHe should help in nearly ERA, WHIP, K, H.

Projections: 2.50 ERA, 4 W, 25 H, 60 IP, 70K

Round 8: Pick 8.13 - Ryan Madson, RP
Like Romo, Madson bridges the gap between the middle relievers and closer on one of the best teams in the NL. He is as durable and consistent as a reliever can be. Like Romo he should help in ERA, WHIP, K and H. He may also sneak in a few saves.

Projections: 2.65 ERA, 4 W, 20 H, 65 IP, 75 K, 5 S

Round 9: Pick 9.13 - Will Venable, OF
As the sixth OF, Venable will provide a great deal of speed and a little power. Like Torres, he would very well find himself earning regular playing time if he shows he can be consistent. He's shown the ability to provide ample speed and power, he just needs to stay healthy.

Projections: .260, 16 HR, 65 RBI, 35 SB, 60 R, 60 BB

Round 10: Pick 10.13 - Clayton Richard, SP
Though not overpowering or extremely noteworthy, Richard makes for the ideal #5 starter. He's durable, has pretty good stuff, and rolls a ton of ground balls. He also misses a decent number of bats. His main issue is his command. He could take a big step forward if he can be more efficient with his pitches and reduce the walks.

Projections: 195 IP, 3.95 ERA, 13 W, 160 K, 1.35 WHIP

Round 11: Pick 11.13 - Takashi Saito, RP
The Brewers are a trendy pick in the NL Central with the arrival of Greinke, and Saito figures to pitch the eighth inning most nights the Brewers have a lead. He's battled injuries recently, but had a great year last season in Atlanta and has undeniably nasty stuff. He will contribute healthy ERA, WHIP, K and H totals - and could potentially figure into save situations if Axford struggles.

Projections: 75 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 85 K, 25 H

Round 12: Pick 12.13 - Jonathon Neise, SP
One of the lone pitching bright spots for the Mets last year; Neise is young, improving rapidly and capable of being pretty darn good. Like Richard he isn't overpowering, but he misses a fair number of bats and gets ground balls. Should be a nice upside pick as my sixth starter.

Projections: 178 IP, 11 W, 4.15 ERA, 155K, 1.30 WHIP

Round 13: Pick 13.13 - Darren O'Day, RP
This pick came down to O'Day, Belisle and one or two others. Ultimately, I felt O'Day was in the best position to get the most hold opportunities on a potential contender - even if he doesn't strike people out. He's not overpowering or exciting; just effective. The one concern here is guy who rely on deception as much as he does tend to have shorter shelf-lives (see: Meredith, Cla).

Projections: 65 IP, 2.75 ERA, 46 K, 26 H, 1.05 WHIP

Round 15: Pick 15.13 - Alexi Casilla, 2B/SS
I was concerned the reserve middle infielders were about to fly off the board, so I took the guy I felt had the best opportunity to earn regular time and surprise some people this year. The timing turned out to be perfect. He should play SS for the Twins and have an opportunity to steal some bases and score some runs. He'll provide valuable depth at 2B and SS.

Projections: .275, 4 HR, 35 RBI, 25 SB, 70 R

Round 16: Pick 16.13 - AJ Pierzynski, C
Nothing special here, just a solid veteran catcher to back up Soto. One thing about AJ, he's pretty consistent.

Projections: .265, 9 HR, 56 RBI, 40 BB, 40 R

Round 17: Pick 17.13 - Brandon Belt, 1B
This amounts to taking a flyer on a top prospect. No position for him now, but there is a good chance the Giants need him to replace Huff or Burrell at some point this year. Hopefully he "Posey's" his way into the lineup by June.

No Projections at this time.

Round 18: Pick 18.13 - Ryan Webb, RP
Big arm, good stuff, and pitching in a bullpen that sorely needs him. Needs to refine command and be more consistent, but has closer written all over him. Given Nunez's track record, Webb could find himself closing sometime this year. The strikeouts should come with experience.

Projections: 65 IP, 3.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 5o K, 20 H, 8-10 Saves

Round 19: Pick 19.13 - Lorenzo Cain, OF
One of the last everyday OFers on the board. Cain showed some promise in a late season cameo last year. Should help some in Avg, SB, R, and maybe BB. Just depth with some upside.

Projections: .285, 8 HR, 45 RBI, 25 SB, 70 R

Round 20: Pick 20.13 - Jeremy Guthrie, SP
Guthrie took a step forward last season, limiting his HR and pitching deeper into games. The stuff is there, expectations are fairly low. He's my seventh SP and the hope is I never or rarely have to use him. Just another durable guy who should give me 190-200 IP if needed.

Projections: 200IP, 12 W, 3.95 ERA, 125 K, 1.20 WHIP

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Javelina Draft Recap: Rounds 1-7

With the first seven rounds of the 2011 Free Agent Draft nearly complete, it's time to take a look at the picks the Javelina have made and how they might impact the team going forward.

Round 1: No Pick
This pick was traded to Olivet for Andre Ethier in a move that should sure up the Javelina outfield for the next 2-3 years.

Round 2: Pick 2.1 - Kelly Johnson, 2B
The Javelina were aggressive in trading up in the second round, always intending to select Johnson in this slot. Johnson figures to provide above average production for a second baseman in every category except stolen bases. He will receive a 2-year contract from the organization.

Projections: .275, 20 HR, 75 RBI, 75 BB, 10 SB, 85 R.

Round 3: No Pick
This pick was traded to the Oviedo Knights in a deal involving Alfonso Soriano.

Round 4: Pick 4.14 - Ryan Dempster, SP
The plan all along was to target a SP who could provide 190+ quality innings and help in all categories. The team was pleased to find Dempster still sitting there in this slot, who should make an excellent #3 behind Gallardo and Weaver. He will receive a 2-year contract from the club.

Projections: 195 IP, 3.75 ERA, 14 W, 185 K, 1.30 WHIP

Round 5: Pick 5.3 - Gio Gonzalez, SP
Gio was one of two or three starting pitchers the club was targeting with this pick, so they were pleased to get him. The young lefty enjoyed a breakout 2010 season, posting best totals in IP, ERA, W, K and WHIP. Look for the 25-year old fireballer to refine his command in 2011 and build on last season. He will receive a 2-year contract.

Projections: 205 IP, 3.50 ERA, 13 W, 180 K, 1.25 WHIP

Round 5: Pick 5.13 - Scott Rolen, 3B
Though not a star anymore, Rolen is still very productive and should put up good numbers playing another season in Cincy. He's clutch RBI man and will hit for a solid average. He is not expected to receive a contract, but should play a key role in the DH/UTIL rotation. He'll also provide good insurance for star 3B Ryan Zimmerman.

Projections: .280, 21 HR, 85 RBI, 50 BB, 70 R

Round 6: Pick 6.13 - Ike Davis, 1B
Management was fairly surprised to find the budding 1B and former Sun Devil still available at this spot and decided it was time to pull the trigger. Like Rolen, Davis figures to receive plenty of time at the UTIL spot and provides solid insurance for Paul Konerko. He figures to help in the RBI and BB categories as the club waits for his power to develop. He will receive a 2-year contract.

Projections: .275, 22 HR, 80 RBI, 80 BB, 70 R

Round 7: Pick 7.13 - Andres Torres, OF
The former Javelina returns home. The club liked Torres for his speed and considered him a solid 5th OFer with the ability to contribute when needed. He could also figure into the UTIL rotation and might even supplant Alfonso Soriano depending upon how the later performs in the early going. His speed figures to prove valuable. He will not receive a contract.

Projections: .265, 15 HR, 60 RBI, 50 BB, 25 SB, 75 R

Saturday, January 22, 2011

2001 eMLB Mock Draft #3

1. South Texas Heat: Prince Fielder, 1B
There is a great deal of chatter about Berg taking a SP to prepare for 2012, but I don't see it. Halladay may be the best player in this draft on some boards, but I am not a believer in drafting a pitcher #1 overall in a league driven by offense. It might make more sense to give Fielder a 3-year contract given the depth of next year's draft, but I'm guessing he gets a five year deal.

2. Mid Michigan Tigers: Tim Lincecum, SP
It could be Halladay or Lincecum here, but I think Lincecum's youth wins out. Though I am not a big believer in giving SP three year contracts, I think Lincecum gets one in this case. It's risky, but the rewards could be just a great.

3. Charlotte Orios: Chase Utley, 2B
There has been talk that Broskey would take a pitcher here, but I don't think so. I believe his last minute trade for Jimenez allows him to feel comfortable passing in Halladay and instead taking the star 2B. Utley is getting up there in age, but he'll probably get a 3-year deal in this spot.

4. San Antonio Fire Ants: Roy Halladay, SP
Sankey has a solid offensive core in place and needs pitching with Santana due to miss a few months to start the year. Halladay, Johnson, Santana would be a formidable 1-2-3 if Santana comes back healthy.

5. Olivet Killer Eagles: Adam Dunn, 1B
I think Larry traded up for Dunn, and I think he finds himself in an excellent spot to gamble a little. He can still get his man in Dunn here and play a little chicken with the next few picks to see if he can get Kemp or Werth at 9. In my opinion, what Larry does here has a big impact on the next 4-5 picks.

6. Arizona Desert Swarm: Matt Kemp, OF
I personally think Kemp is a little overrated (lazy) and is probably a better pick at 6 than he would have been in the top four. Loads of potential here, but I don't believe he 'gets it' enough to be a star. Still, a solid 3-year player for a team in need of outfield help.

7. Springfield Flying Squirrels: Jimmy Rollins, SS
Anson's plan comes together and he gets his SS.

8. Hackensack Bulls: Kendry Morales, 1B
Like I've said before, as much as Ben might like pitching, he'd be foolish not to take a bat of some sort here. Frankly, James Loney sucks. Morales makes all the sense in the world here and is a solid 3-year player.

9. Olivet Killer Eagles: Jayson Werth, OF
Larry's plan comes together and he gets the two guys he wanted most. I think Dunn is a better pick than Kemp at 5 because you know what you're getting, and I think Werth is a better all around fantasy player than Kemp. So Larry gambles and gets two great 3-year players, both of whom I believe are better players than Kemp.

10. Rochester Red Sox: CC Sabathia, SP
There is lots of speculation about Buccholz here - and I've bought into it - but I agree with Renner in that it doesn't make sense. There are five or six pitchers in this draft who are better than Buccholz right now, starting with the big fella. He can get Buccholz in the second round.

11. Rochester Red Sox: Derek Jeter, SS
It would kill Rich to take two Yankees here, but they are probably the best players on the board at this point. I don't think either Buccholz or Elsbury make sense this early.

12. Springfield Flying Squirrels: Mat Latos, SP
It comes down to Latos and Kershaw, and you can't really go wrong with either.

13. Olivet Killer Eagles: Clayton Kershaw, SP
With Latos and CC gone, Larry opts for Kershaw.

14. South Texas Heat: Carlos Santana, C
I don't buy Berg taking Alvarez here because I believe he can be had later. I know Berg is high on Santana and with the general lack of talent at C, I think he opts to fill that spot.

15. Dallas Red Birds: Mariano Rivera, RP
I don't really think anyone else makes sense for Doyel here. He pretty much has to take him to atone for the Soriano deal.

16. Hackensack Bulls: Heath Bell, RP
The last remaining stud closer is off the board to end the first round.

Monday, January 17, 2011

Javelina Complete Busy Winter Meetings

The Winter Meetings came to a close last night, which means it's time to recap the moves made by GM Jamie Hoyle and assess the impact those moves stand to have on the Javelina roster. The team made the following moves during the meetings:

Acquired Andre Ethier (3/12) for pick 1.13
Entering the meetings, Hoyle realized two things; he needed to improve his offensive core and most of his team stands to be draft-eligible after 2011. That made it imperative for the GM to add a potent bat who could team with Ryan Zimmerman beyond the 2011 season. Enter Ethier; a slugging outfielder who is just entering his prime. In the supposed 'post-steroid era', adding a corner outfielder capable of blasting 30 HR is no small feat. Ethier figures to remain a Javelina for the duration of his contract.

Acquired pick 5.03 for Francisco Corder0 (2/11)
Not particularly enamored with his duo of closers and in need of a few open contract spots, Hoyle decided it was time to clean out the bullpen. It's difficult to tell what the team will get with 5.03 at the moment, but it's probably safe to assume it will be either a starting pitcher or a bat of some kind.

Acquired pick 4.14 for Huston Street (2/11)
Again, the open contract spots and ability to extend two players trumped the need for two closers. Once again, the team is reasonably confident it should be able to secure a solid starting pitcher or offensive weapon at this point in the draft.

Acquired pick 2.01 and 8.01 for pick 2.13 and 4.13
For the Javelina, the ability to move up twelve slots in the second round of a thin draft was huge. They accomplished their goal, and their ability to secure an additional 4th round pick made the decision that much easier. It's safe to assume the team will draft offense in this part of the draft.

Acquired Alfonso Soriano for pick 3.13, 14.13, and Kyle Blanks (2/11)
With this move the Javelina successfully completed their 4-man outfield and managed to find a taker for young Kyle Blanks. The benefit of this deal is two-fold - first, the team acquired another outfielder capable of hitting 25+ HR; second they opened up a sixth contract spot which will enable them to offer two extensions following the 2011 season. Anytime a team can add that much offense and free up contracts, it's a win-win.

All-in-all, a very successful Winter Meetings for the Javelina. With his 4-man outfield complete and infield substantially so, Hoyle now finds himself in the enviable position of being able to draft the best player available rather than drafting based entirely on need. Hoyle figures to focus almost entirely on starting pitching and offensive depth with his remaining picks.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

2011 eMLB Mock Draft #2

We've seen a number of first round picks traded back and forth during an eventful Winter Meetings, so it looks like it's time for another installment of my mock draft. Here is how I see things panning out...

1. South Texas Heat: Prince Fielder, 1B
Let's see - Berg traded a year of Hanley Ramirez and possibly two years of David Wright to gather enough ammo to trade up for that #1 pick; is there any doubt who he'll take. The big first baseman is his pick and is greeted with a brand-spanking new 5-year contract.

2. Mid Michigan Tigers: Roy Halladay, SP
I had Keith pegged for picking Matt Kemp all off-season, but he's been aggressive in trading for outfielders and is thin on SP. My guess is Keith snaps up Halladay and hands him a 3-year contract.

3. Charlotte Orios: Chase Utley, 2B
As usual, Chris Broskey has been extremely active in the Winter Meetings. His moves (also as usual) have seemed a little scatter-brained, but it looks like his plan is coming together. He winds up with Chase Utley at #3, which was his likely target all along.

4. San Antonio Fire Ants: Tim Lincecum, SP
I think this pick ultimately comes down to Lincecum and Kemp, and Sankey goes with the right-hander. I'd guess Lincecum is a lock for a 3-year contract.

5. Olivet Killer Eagles: Matt Kemp, OF
I think Larry traded up with designs on drafting Adam Dunn and was shocked to see Kemp still sitting there for him. After an internal debate Larry takes Kemp and gives him a 3-year contract.

6. Arizona Desert Swarm: Adam Dunn, 1B/DH
I frankly have no idea what Josh wants to do here, but he could use a long-term option at 1B and he needs some power. Dunn is the best option. Another option would be Kendry Morales.

7. Flying Squirrels of Republic: Jimmy Rollins, SS
Anson has filled most of his holes in the Winter Meetings, but a glaring hole remains at SS. I believe he pulled the trigger on the deal with Squire to ensure himself of landing Rollins. Does he risk the 3-year contract on Jimmy? My guess is yes.

8. Hackensack Bulls: Kendry Morales, 1B
Femmel is big on SP, but he's already got a good foundation on the mound. To put it simply, no fantasy owner worth his salt would be content relying on James Loney at 1B. Morales gets a 3-year contract.

9. Olivet Killer Eagles: Jayson Werth, OF
I have to believe the temptation to sure up his outfield is too much for Larry to ignore here. Werth gets a 3-year contract.

10. Rochester Red Sox: Clay Buccholz, SP
Ummm....duh. The biggest homer in the league locks up the Sox bright young SP the first chance he gets. No brainer. Is he confident enough to give him a 3-year contract?

11. Rochester Red Sox: CC Sabathia, SP
I think this pick probably comes down to two Yankees here - Sabathia and Jeter. Jeter is the bigger need, but Rich can't resist a chance to have Haren, Buccholz and Sabathia in the same rotation.

12. Flying Squirrels of Republic: Mat Latos, SP
This pick comes down to Latos and Kershaw, and you can't lose with either one. Anson just misses out on CC and opts for the hard-throwing right hander.

13. Olivet Killer Eagles: Clayton Kershaw, SP
Larry's plan works out and he gets a promising young SP with his third first round pick. Does he give him a 3-year contract?

14. South Texas Heat: Derek Jeter, SS
I have to believe Berg was hoping for either Latos or Kershaw to call to him, but he's content taking the top SS on the board. At 36, Jeter probably only warrants a 2-year deal.

15. Dallas Redbirds: Mariano Rivera, RP
Though he would probably disagree, Doyel almost has to take Rivera here to atone for his Rafael Soriano gaffe in the Winter Meetings. He can't afford to let anyone else grab Rivera.

16. Hackensack Bulls: Roy Oswalt, SP
Like I said earlier, Femmel loves his SP. Oswalt is arguably the best on the board at this point and would give Femmel a formidable 1-2-3 of Lester-Wainwright-Oswalt.

Julian Introduces Ethier, Soriano

After struggling to keep pace offensively for much of the 2010 season, Julian GM Jamie Hoyle decided early in the offseason he had to aggressively scour the trade market for players who could provide a little more thump to their lineup. The organization is confident they have addressed those needs with the additions of Andre Ethier and Alfonso Soriano.

Either, 28, owns a .291 career batting average and has averaged approximately 25 home runs and 89 runs batted in over the last three years. A graduate of Arizona State University, Ethier has proven himself to be a reliable run producer at the Major League level and excels in the clutch (.283, 20 HR, 191 RBI career with RISP). He is expected to hit third (between Choo and Zimmerman) in the Julian lineup.

"We're very excited to have Andre in Julian," exclaimed GM Jamie Hoyle. "He's a fine young player and a proven performer at this level. He and Zim should provide a formidable 3-4 tandem."

For his part, Ethier is excited to join a team coming off a winning season and a playoff run.

"They were good to me in Olivet," said Ethier. "But it's nice to know this team was in the playoffs last season and has a chance to go back. There is a lot of talent here, it should be a fun season.

Soriano, 35, is a .277 career hitter who has averages 26 home runs and 70 runs batted in during his 12 year career. Soriano was at one time among the most feared power/speed combinations in baseball, but his speed has eroded with age and injury. Even without the speed, Soriano remains a power threat who is capable of carrying a team for 2-3 weeks during a hot streak. He will most likely hit somewhere near the bottom of the order.

"It was important to us to lock in our outfield heading into the draft," said Hoyle. "Alfonso helps lengthen our lineup with a little extra power. You can really never have enough guys capable of reaching the seats."

Soriano expressed excitement over his new surroundings in a brief, written statement.

"I am very excited to be in Julian and look forward to helping my team win," said Soriano. "This is very good team with championship goals, I just hope I can do my part to make that happen."

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Report: Julian to Acquire OF Help

Sources within the organization have indicated that Julian Javelina GM Jamie Hoyle tonight is nearing an agreement on a deal that would bring in a fourth outfielder. It is believed the deal involves Hoyle trading a draft pick and Kyle Blanks in exchange for a power hitting outfielder. Stay tuned for updates as they become available.

Thursday, January 6, 2011

Julian Announces Four Trades

The Julian Javelina have released a brief statement announcing four trades. The team has agreed to the following trades thus far:

Francisco Cordero (2/11) traded to Mid-Michigan Tigers for pick 5.3

Huston Street (2/11) traded to South Texas for pick 4.14

Andre Ethier (3/12) acquired from Olivet for pick 1.13

Picks 2.13 and 4.13 traded to Atlantic Surge for picks 2.1 and 8.1

The team is expected to issue press releases on each individual deal during the course of the Winter Meetings and still hopes to complete one or two more deals. Ideally the team would like to move outfielder Kyle Blanks and add one more contract in his place, presumably either a SP, 2B or OF.

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Julian Trading Up?

There are whispers around eMLB that the Julian Javelina have agreed in principal to a trade that would move them near the top of the second round of the upcoming draft. Details have not yet been made available, but it's believed the Javelina have secured one of the first five selections in the second round.

Javelina Ready for Meetings

The Julian Javelina front office is ready for the start of the Winter Meetings. While unconfirmed, it is believed the team could announce as many as five trades before the Meetings close and the draft is opened. The team has not been shy about its desire to add offense prior to the draft, nor have they denied their interest in moving Francisco Cordero, Huston Street and Kyle Blanks. One thing is for sure - Julian is a hot bed of activity this winter.